American Presidential Elections 2016:
Can The Republican Donald Trump Win?
What if he Becomes The President?
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The US Media and Donald Trump's rise
American election has always invoked a global interest. This time, it even has a man, who himself is
globally interesting. Although he is said to be press made, he actually is a 'one statement' man - 'We
will temporarily block the entry of
immigrant Muslims'. While
businessmen seeking sales in a
crowd is known, reporters don't
seem to be much different. As a
symbiotic use, while reporters saw
an odd speaker and a crowd puller,
the odd speaker saw media
exposure. This symbiosis would
make him the most talked about man
the US - in both the traditional and
This red haired billionaire, however,
couldn't afford the luxury of praise.
While his intelligence got a 'fool',
social skills a 'hatemonger' and
facial anatomy an 'ugly', his faith
that remained also did not get
spared. So, when the faith supremo, Pope, forgot the Vatican's future dealings with the world leader, as
a Vicar of Rome he indirectly suggested that Trump wasn't a Christian. Forget personality, God or
faith, even him as 'talk of the town' got brushed off as a 'media creation'. Him reigning over a billion
mattered less and him reigning over the Capital Hill was a no, even from Ted Cruz.
The only thing that came out of this for Trump was '..any advertisement is a good advertisement'. It
seems that Trump has only a small chance of winning the US presidential election 2016?
Can Donald Trump win the election?
Yes, political pundits fail and exit polls even
during election don't give a straight answer to
the election results. And special interest
groups, evangelical Christians, their
companies, oil companies, etc. that influence
the US elections don't make it easy either.
However, the following factors do play a role.
The promise for a better future:
Election is all about 'It's bad now, we will
make it better in the future'. And if rightly
done, especially after Obama, one can even
hope for a premature Nobel Prize. But then, the present doesn't seem to change, for the future
generally matches the present. Even if predicting the future is difficult, Churchill, at least, facilitates
the promise with 'A leader predicts what will happen in the future and explain why it didn't happen'.
Promise gives hope alone but slogan gives the drive. When promise gets elevated to slogans, effects
are very different. While many offered promises, the drive like 'yes we can' not only made the Afro-
American Obama president of
the US but brought him a Nobel prize as well.
Looks matter and in a competitive glamorised
world, even men use cosmetics. Politics is no
different. It aided Tony Blair against in his rival Ms
Becket in the Labour party leadership election and it
pushed JFK almost to the level of Elvis.
The oratory skills:
Irrespective of slogan and promise, oratory skill
alone can draw people. But when they together do a
in 1, history is made. Obama could not match JFK
in looks, but his coherent oratory skills mesmerised people, and after listening to his speech even the
intelligent ones wanted to vote for him.
Of course, intelligence helps tremendously, but
with the campaign being a team effort, it isn't
essential. Even if we were to forget the ones
without much intelligence in history, the
elected president George Bush glitters as an
example. Strangely, it even finds a matching
pair with voters. No wonder, a UK tabloid once
screamed in its headline 'How could millions of
Americans be so stupid to elect George Bush?
Even if we forget the porn guzzling church goers, Jesus' love but not Biblical rule following lot or
bestsellers from Hitchens and Dawkins as if through the effort of millionaire evangelists, America is
still a religious country. And Protestant Christianity is the rule. While a Catholic JFK had to clarify
that he will not be influenced by the Pope to succeed in politics, some in the most successful group,
Hindus, see conversion to Christianity almost as a necessity.
But then, it is encroached from both the sides - atheism and Islam. Like the atheists, there is rise and
rise of the Muslims (migrants & converts). Yet they amount to only a few million and deaths from gun,
lobby's guns, is more frequent. But fear invoked by Islam after 9/11, is much higher.
With many Caucasian Americans finding comfort in Islam, Muslims do not make a race. However, the
fear of being labelled as a racist makes Americans say less in public. But voting is a private matter. So,
although it is said, 'things done in private doesn't matter', this private act matters - for it elects a
president. That too a global leader!!
In a multiparty system, a party can gobble up smaller party followers. In the case of the US, right from
the days of Jefferson just two groups, Federalists and Republicans emerged, and two party system
became the norm. Voters are likewise traditionally divided into the Republican and the Democratic
Party supporters. Such a big fuss is just about a smaller group - the undecided voters, who can be
helped with their decisions - or rather cajoled.
When billions are at stake, media doesn't shy away but actually does the staging - a la wrestling match.
While it brings people to its gadgets full of election drama, mesmerises them and invokes interest on
elections, party advertisements direct the curious to the parties.
WOMEN’S POWER: ITS PAST, ITS PRESENT, ITS FUTURE: FEMOCRACY
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